Category Archives: American Politics

Iran vs. Biden


Welcome to our brave new world, which is starting to look like the bad old world. In the last week Iranian backed militias have launched three rocket attacks at American forces and positions including the American embassy, killing a US contractor, and injuring US service personnel. The reaction of the Biden administration has been to label the attacks an “Outrage” but that the US will not lash out, but consider options, Come on man. Iran has in the past tested the resolve of the United States, recently under Trump. The result with Trump was withdrawal from the JCPOA, the Iran deal, which cost them billions due to renewed sanctions. When they attempted to force their point once again by staging an attack on our embassy in Baghdad, their lead terrorist was killed by a drone strike. In June of 2019 Iran shoot down a US Drone over international waters in the Strait of Hormuz. The US responded by a cyber attack which shut down the Iranian Air Defense Grid. Last year the number of attacks increased but the number of rockets fired in each attack decreased.  The attacks also were of very little effect since they mostly missed hitting anything of value with no US casualties.

Today we see death and casualty causing impacts as well as an increase in accuracy. The good news is they are not using their more sophisticated weapons and not using the mass barrage technique of the past. How long will it be before they use larger more sophisticated missiles and aim to cause mass death. If there is no response, it will not be too long. Our allies I am sure are cautioning against the cowboy diplomacy of the past and the Biden administration is more then happy to oblige. While claiming to be assessing and contemplating they can continue to just sit back and do nothing. How will this work out?

In the past, during the cold war there was a military doctrine known as Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) that was thought to keep the US and the Soviet Union from using nuclear force. We may not be talking about stopping a nuclear war (yet), but the concept of deterrence is valid. An excellent book from those days is “Arms and Influence” by Thomas C. Schelling. The first chapter in his book is titled “The Diplomacy of Violence.” Schelling speaks of the difference between compelling a foe or coercing them. Joe Biden is familiar with compelling someone as we saw with his threat to Ukraine to fire a prosecutor or lose US aid. Coercion is different, since it is making someone do what they do not want to do under threat of violence. Compelling Iran to stop supporting militias in Iran or to stop exporting terrorism in the region is a futile quest. Coercing them with threats of violence has limited effect but can still be effective if the amount of hurt inflected or perceived to be coming is sufficient to slow down an action. Claiming they were in Iranian waters the boats and crew were taken captive. Secretary of State Kerry apologized for the incident and thanked Iran for releasing the crew. Obama pointe the incident out as a success for diplomacy. Iran continued to size tankers in the gulf and demanding ransom. Most recently they sized a Korean tanker in January claiming it was polluting the gulf. Iran just announced it was releasing the tanker after South Korea released 1 Billion dollars in assets frozen by US sanctions.

The Biden administration must learn how to deal with terrorist regimes, or the violence will increase and consume the region and the world. One teaching of life comes from William F. Buckley who said, “Idealism is fine but as it approaches reality the cost becomes prohibitive.”  No government or political institution can stand if it is based solely on ideology that makes no room for change.

Trump taxes


Just a quick thought on the recent Supreme Court ruling to allow NY Prosecutors access to Trumps tax returns. I will agree that law enforcement has a right to gather evidence when investigating a crime. What I would object to is if they use the law to go on a fishing expedition to see if a crime has been committed. If there is probable cause to pursue an investigation so be it. If you just want to rip into someone past because you don’t like them, then who is the criminal.

Is liberalism the Dark Side of the Political Force?


There has been a lot of talk about why the left keeps winning. The question is, do they? Today most people get their information from the web or cable news networks. The Newspapers, which have been in decline for years, have returned to the days of yellow journalism with sensationalized headlines and front-page reports designed to provide editorial content above actual news events. In this way the left is winning since for most people this is the quickest, easiest, and most seductive way to be “informed.” We have also seen this in our educational system. There is no doubt that in primary and elementary schools it is necessary to work on basics, the 3Rs. But what has been lost, if it was truly ever there, is teaching how to think. This should be part of middle and high school education. Lean to question what is being said and to search out information.

Recent examples of failure to think occurred in a CNN town hall meeting with President Biden. According to Biden in the town hall there was no Covid-19 vaccine before he entered office, which we know is not true. That there was no distribution plan for the vaccine, which we know is not true. He further went on to say that with his plan there will be 100 million people vaccinated in the next three months, or 1.07 million a day. Before Trump left office, they were vaccinating 1 million per day. It did not take long to figure these numbers out, just a quick check on Google. Without the education to question there is no need to look this up, it just quicker and easier to accept. The news media was no help since, as was done in the Washington Post it was dismissed as it is difficult to speak on live TV, his childhood stutter or just a typical Joe Biden Gaffe. Nothing to see here so stop looking.

Lack of civics teaching is also a problem. The drum beat from the left is continuous, the courts have found no proof of fraud in the elections. The truth is that the courts, as they historically do, have found procedural reasons not to hear the cases, mostly lack of standing by the plaintiff. The most recent headline, today, is that the Supreme Court decided against Trump. What in fact happened is what I had predicted, the case is moot since the election is over.  

What has protected us in the past is open discussions and somewhat far journalism. Today we are under the control of what could only be called propaganda. We need to toughen up and learn to think as individuals. Perhaps we need to increase the number of private schools and demand quality education from the public schools. Parents need to demand collages and universities stop denying free speech on campus. Students must be taught that they are students and not in charge. They must be given a level of freedom and liberty but must be made to understand they are not equal to professors, administrators, or their parents.

PLEASEThink what we have lost by being quiet and what we need to do to regain or liberty.

saturday thoughts


Just a couple of quick Items for the weekend. First, Sen Ted Cruz, who cares. It is a PR disaster but not a major mistake. He is a US Senator and would have very little power to do anything but make phone calls to FEMA to ask how things are going. It is not like he is a Governor of a state whose actions may have killed thousands, but let’s keep Cruz in the news to keep Cuomo out.

The new all Democrat congress, which the media has judged centrist, assigned Sen. Bernie Sanders to be Chairman of the Senate Budget Committee. He is now scheduling high-profile hearings that highlight the socialist agenda he has pushed for his 30 years on the hill. The first is titled “Why Should Taxpayers Subsidize Poverty Wages at Large Profitable Corporations?” Future hearings are on such subjects as “making corporations and the wealthy pay their fair share,” as well as the cost of climate change. I am sure these will be fair and open meetings. I will soon be discussing the concept of the wealthy paying their fair share and what that means.

Biden has returned the US to the Paris Climate Accords, by the way the US has meet or exceeded the benchmarks set before this decision.

Biden has recently overturned several Trump executive orders, two were designed to lower the cost of insulin and increase support for apprenticeships.

Have a good weekend and PLEASEThink about what is happening around you.  

Should the minimum wage go Up


With the Democrat party controlling both houses of Congress and the White House there is a good chance that the federal minimum wage will be raised from $7.50/hr.  to $15.00/hr. The drumbeat argument from the left has been no one should work for less then a living wage. I agree that all people should be given the opportunity to earn a living wage and the statistics prove that most do. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) approximately 1.9% of hourly wage earners make at or below the federal minimum wage. Another argument being made is that it disproportionately impacts minorities, again looking at the statistics we see this is not true. According to the BLS White represent 72.6% at or below, 49% are women. Black or African Americans represent 17.9%, women are 11.4%.

Is there an argument for raising the minimum wage, yes. The minimum wage has not been raised since 2009 and there should be some increase. The problem is that, like everything else they do, the federal government tends to discount tomorrow. The current bill will slowly raise the rate to $15.00/hr. over time, then what. The rate should have a built-in escalation provision that is tied to inflation, or the cost of living, or something.

The next area we must explore in the numbers is who is being impacted. To be exact those listed by the BLS by age shows that the majority, 43.1% are 16-to-24-year old’s, follow by 25% who are between 25 to 34 years old. Another way to look at this is that most of those who would benefit from an increase are those still in high school or just post-secondary education. Those with occupational education make up the least at 3.6%. Remember this is based on those paid hourly not the total working population.

The answer to low wage jobs is not to force an increase on business owners who can little afford it but to encourage an economy that will, through competition, pay higher rates. Stop trying to force a system that does not help those seeking to live a better life but to set the conditions where people have opportunity and a clear path to success on their terms.

Should there be a third party


Much is being said and written about advancing a third major political party. Many parties have existed in the United States since its beginning. The early parties are no longer with us, having outlived their usefulness or morphed overtime into what we have today. Recently there have been attempts to start viable third parties but all have failed. Even movements within the parties, such as the Tea Party, used to push toward an extreme view have ended badly. For good or ill the US is a two-party country and will likely remain so for the foreseeable future. To determine the way forward for the republican/conservative movement we will take a page out of resent home improvement shows. Couples on these shows are given the option of keeping their current home with upgrades or moving to a new home. We must determine if we want to keep our party with upgrades or move on to an unknown.

Obviously, my recommendation is to upgrade and rebrand. We got a good start from President Trump and need to build on that. Trump acting in the interest of the country as a whole and fought for the individual. We need to find a way to shed the image of racism and the party of the one percenter. This will not be easy since the left owns the news media and will not allow for any positive reports about the right, to get much coverage. We need to work around this obstacle. Local organizations must be recruited to spread the word. The word must also be moderate and less extreme than some may wish. Most of what the republican party is about is moderate action to problems and reasonable solution that work overtime. This is anathema to the left who respond to everything with kneejerk reactions and a need for instantaneous gratification. We need to push back on the radical ideas that have no basis in fact and stop fearing popular reactions to unpopular statements.

Identity politics has driven the concept of differing views to the point that there can be only one why of looking at any situation. In a recent interview on CNN Freshman Representative Sara Jacobs (D-CA) called for a truth commission to root out and combat extremism. She is not the first and I have not heard much from the right. This type of ideology, that puts itself above the constitution, needs to be confronted. We have heard from the new Secretary of Defense that he is ordering a 60-day standdown to confront extremism in the military, while most recently the acting chief of police in Washington DC said they are exploring ways to investigate police officers who may hold extremist views. What no one has defined is what is extremism. Will visiting a Proud Boys web site cost you a career or a promotion? Will there be equal examination for Black Lives Matter or Antifa?  The right should be standing up and screaming about this, but so far nothing. Where do these type of big brother investigations end?

The Republican party needs to return to the roots of American thought and culture. We must push the ideas of freedom and liberty. We must continue to push the concept of the individual above the collective state. It must be understood that America is unique in the world. Solutions that have worked or perceived to have worked elsewhere may not work here. At the same time, we must understand that we cannot export American culture.

We have reached a time in which too many of our citizens are ashamed of being American for reasons they cannot explain. We must get everyone to PLEASEThink about how great our country is and how we can work together to make it work.  

CONSERVATISM AND THE NEXT MOVE


Steven Covey author of the “7 Habits of Highly Effective People” set up as one of the habits, to put first things first. First things first was the title of his next book. Without a doubt the Republican party must begin to rebuild itself, so should the Democrat party but I will not get into that. To rebuild we must borrow Covey’s second habit “begin with the end in mind.” What do we want the party to look like and how will it serve the nation and the people. Conservatism is the obvious place to start but what is conservatism? Book publisher Henry Regnery once said, “Conservatism is not a fixed and immutable body of dogma, and conservatives inherit from Burke a talent for re-expressing their convictions to fit the times.”  There was a time when conservatism was in ascendancy and may have peaked with President Reagan. When once asked to define conservatism, the father of modern conservative thought, William F. Buckley responded “Conservatism aims to maintain in working order the loyalties of the community to perceived truths and also to those truths which in their judgment have earned universal recognition. Now this leaves room, of course, for deposition, and there is deposition — the Civil War being the most monstrous account. But it also urges a kind of loyalty that breeds a devotion to those ideals sufficient to surmount the current crisis. When the Soviet Union challenged America and our set of loyalties, it did so at gunpoint. It became necessary at a certain point to show them our clenched fist and advise them that we were not going to deal lightly with our primal commitment to preserve those loyalties. That’s the most general definition of conservatism.”

Where to go from here? The truths Buckley referred have been twisted and turned until they are unrecognizable. When Buckley and Regnery where speaking the main enemies were the Soviet Union and China. There was a clear distinction between Western and Communist governments. After the Berlin wall came down and the east opened, and then the Soviet Union itself ceased to exist, many people still remembered the horror stories that had emerged. before that we were told by Solzhenitsyn of the type of system existed. It has been more then a generation since the fall of the Soviet Union and China has developed a hybrid system that fooled the west for years. The left proceeded during this time to convince the world that the old communist systems were not that bad, that socialism was an answer to all the problems that exist. 

As we said, one of the things the left likes to claim is that they alone can solve the problems of race and are the only party that believes in equality. This is an area the Republicans have tied to reject but have done a bad job. While highlighting the number of minorities who have switched to the Republican party they fail to say why. The liberal left continues to tout the need for a central government role in all aspects of life and try to bribe minorities to stay by promising monetary support across the board. What is less likely to be shown is that minority business ownership and the number of minorities in the middle class has grown to a point that it is approaching equality with the white population. When this began to become apparent in the Trump administration politicians and news media brough to light concepts of white privilege, white supremacy, and critical race theory. The Republican party backed away from discussing this and in some ways encouraged the belief in this line of thinking.

The main tactic of the left is to convince people to stop thinking and to just accept group think. The end state we must strive for is that the individual counts and will not be lost in the drive for collective thinking. A main tenet of conservatism has been prosperity. For many years now there has been a strong push to villainize the wealthy and the idea that all problems with the poor derives from too few people having too much money. Economic inequality is a buzz phrase of the left. This is usually followed by the statement that the rich must pay their fair share, with no one saying what a fair share is.

Beginning with the end in mind lets look at convincing the people that there is nothing wrong with wealth and building wealth. That the individual is responsible for their own welfare and that the purpose of government is to ensure there is no roadblock to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness, but it does come from the government.

THE IMPEACHMENT IS OVER, NOW WHAT


It is all over, Trump was acquitted. It is not all over and will not be for some time. It is not in the interest of the left to allow it to die. It is not in the interest of the right to let it die. Just as the years following the Civil War the Republicans continued to wave the bloody shirt blaming the Democrats for ripping the Union apart, the Democrats will now wave their bona fides as the ones who tried to protect the nation from a dictator. The Republicans will then point out that it was the Democrats who twice used their positions to attempt to overthrow the President and then to deny a private citizen the rights of citizenship. Much of the movements on the left are due to the inability to accept the outcome of the 2016 election. The problem with the right is their inability to accept the declared outcome of the 2020 election. We now see Both Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer calling out the 43 Senators for voting to acquit Trump of the charge of inciting an insurrection. Schumer has said if acquitted he would move to have Trump censured invoking the 14th amendment in order to stop him from running in 2024, again in order to overturn the verdict. This would not be a direct violation of the constitutional probation against double jeopardy but it would violate its sprit.

The Impeachment is done, in fact, so we need to do some analysis and then look to the future of conservativism in America. Did President Trump make mistakes following the 2020 election, the answer has to be yes. The Trump presidency, without reverting to emotion, was very successful. Unemployment decreased across the board for all citizens, with black and other minorities seeing the lowest unemployment in history. With the removal of business killing regulations businesses bloomed including the greatest growth in minority businesses. Business began to return to the US and the dollar got stronger against foreign currencies. The Iran deal was reversed stopping the flow of money into Iran that had been used to increase its terrorist activities across the region. North Korea was somewhat subdued, at least the threat was minimized. Russian expansion into Ukraine was halted and its economy was struck a blow with the loss of oil revenue into Europe and Europe itself was forced to acknowledge its overdependence on US military deterrence to keep it safe.       

The impeachment was a microcosm of problems and solutions in America. The left continued to show itself driven by hatred and ideological intransigence. The right on the other hand was looking to decide what they really are or what they stand for.  The left had decided to impeach Trump even before he was sworn into office. The mainstream news media, which is 90% left leaning, began to attack Trump from policy disagreements to personnel attacks on him and his family.  The right is paralyzed by its perceived history of being the old white man’s party. The left popularized the belief that they alone were able to bring equality to the American people and that the right only wants to hold down anyone not like them. All disinformation campaigns begin with a little truth.  While in the past the Republican party has been dominated by older white males it is today more of a big tent party. Party leadership crosses race and gender as well as age. The Democrat party has in the past advanced the cause of civil rights and gender equality. Today democrats are seen as stalled and unable to progress to the next level. This has allowed the right to justifiably claim that the left has used minorities and is holding back any forward progress, more on this in the nest blog.

The impeachment has freed both sides to pursue their separate agendas. Please Think of what this means. In the next few days, I will go deeper into the how I see the future.

IMPEACMENT DAY FIVE


I was happy to see the Trump defense team had its best day, admittedly the bar was set very low. They were brief in their close, I will be as well. The basis of the defense was, as it always has been, that there is no evidence of Trump inciting the riot. To prove their point, they played video of democrat members calling on their constituents to fight and fight hard the Trump agenda. Showing several videos of then candidate Joe Biden saying that if this were high school, he would take Trump out behind the gym and beat the crap out of him. The obvious intent was to off set the videos the House managers showing that Trump call on his followers to fight and fight hard. The Trump call was also included in the article of impeachment to say it was Trumps intent to attack the building. There was a point that the defense pointed to the lead House manager, Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-Md.), and stated, he himself, in 2016 called for the election of Trump to be reversed. They then turned on the video the managers played on the first day and told the Senate the truth, it had been cut, rearranged, and manipulated.

What this and the actions of the House managers shows is that nothing in this “trial” is based on facts or evidence. This is all for political show and should end as soon as possible as the result is widely known, acquittal. The Q&A session was of no consequence as nothing was learned. There was also nothing new in Saturday’s session except for the House managers calling for witnesses and the Senate voting 55-44 to allow them. What should have ended today will now drag on. There will be little to learn from witnesses that is not already known, this just continues the tie up of the government. We know from last years show trial that the government was tied up at the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic slowing government response. What will the result of this delay be? One aspect is that Gov Cuomo has just been outed as faking the number of Covid deaths in state nursing homes to keep Trump from acting or interfering. Keeping this trial going could keep Cuomo out of the press.   

After this was posted it came out there will b no witnesses just a statement for the record from Congresswoman Jaime Herrea Beutler (R-Wash.). More on this is the next post,

I will pick up on Monday and ask that you all continue to PLEASEThink, look for your own information and make up your own minds.

IMPEACHMENT DAY FOUR


Today we enter day four of the “trial” of President Trump. The House impeachment managers wrapped up their presentation yesterday. I do not know what the Trump defense will do today in their wrap up but it brings to mind and old Don Adams quote that goes something like “For he past hour my worthy opponent has stood before you and made a complete ass of himself, now its my turn,”  

To recap the closing arguments Donald Trump must be found guilty to stop him from running again or for anyone else to ever use violent rhetoric to rule a country. That by not immediately sending help or ordering his followers to stop he violated his oath to defend and protect the constitution. They even rebuked the concept that Trump must meet a higher standing for free speech as the President.   

The right to free speech is the conner stone that made the American dream possible. Yes, there are exceptions and inciting to riot/overthrow of the government is one of them. To say the President must meet a higher standard than the constitution is an indicator that the house managers have no respect for the constitution.  

The House managers continued to discuss in the most emotional terms what happened in the building that day and continued to call those inside Trump insurrectionist. They have however failed to connect anything Trump said to the riot. There have been reports that many there said they came because Trump called them. This is an individual interpretation of some of the rhetoric that came out of Trump. In 1170 King Henry II of England was reported to have uttered the phrase “will no one rid me of this troublesome priest.” This was interpreted by four knights to mean kill Becket the Archbishop of Canterbury. Most now conclude that Henry did not mean for this to happen and it was an expression of exasperation. Today, like in 1170, the leader’s words are interpreted by different parties to mean different things.  

One of the points the managers tried to make was that the president did not care about the riot and was more interested in blocking the vote to certify the election. Proof of this came when they entered into “evidence” a phone call made to Sen Lee’s phone for Sen Tuberville insisting that he block the Senate somehow. The problem with this is that Sen Lee stood up to say that the “evidence’ being presented was in error. Lee tried to have the whole thing struck but was told that was not allowed by Senate rules. In the end the managers allowed it to be removed as evidence saying they got it from a news report. In his close Lead House manager Rep. Jamie Raskin made a big show of how they could not question Trump and asked the defense team to provide the answers three questions in the name of Trump. This of course would violate the 5th amendment, but again constitutional protections are not important to the managers.

It must be said that the House did not prove its case and we will see how the defense does in its close.